Our aim is to formulate analytical models of the higher level
dynamics of subsystem interactions: (i) to predict emerging pathological
behavior from time series observations of events (classified from sensor data)
and interactions, and (ii) to formulate adaptive mechanisms to circumvent
or mitigate the effects of pathological behavior.
In many ways, the macroscopic behavior of the aggregate
system emerges from interactions between individual components. The evolutionary
physics of these systems has generated great interest in the continuous case [Alligood
96, Nicolis 77,
Haken 78] for studying
physical phenonmena like the flow of gases, flexible structures, chemical
reactions and biological systems. More recently discrete event models for
distributed control in human-engineered systems have also been studied for
military operations [Phoha 99],
computer network management [Lee
93], mechanical and aerospace systems [Zhang
00], and Internet applications [Leland
94, Grossglauser 99].
The search for fundamental principles of fault tolerance in
human-engineered complex systems is very new. Our search for analytical notions
of pervasive fault tolerance is based on the fact that many biological
and chemical systems exist where microscopic flux and chaos are offset by
macroscopic order. We will draw on (i) the extant scientific
knowledge-base on the physics of individual failure and (ii) the
relatively sparse knowledge-base on complex systems behaviors to discover the
fundamental principles for pervasive fault tolerance in human-engineered
systems.
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